NBA Finals Preview - LA Lakers vs. Boston
Basketball Betting Lines
05/31/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If Yogi Berra were talking NBA Finals, the baseball legend
might be tempted to break out his famous "It's deja vu all over again" line.
The league's two marquee franchises, the Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Lakers, will fight over the Lawrence O'Brien Trophy for a record 12th time
when the finals kick off in Hollywood on Thursday.
When you talk rivalries, the Lakers-Celtics is right up there with Yankees-
Red Sox and Ohio State-Michigan as the best in all of sports. Their finals
history dates all the way back to the 1958-59 season when the Lakers nickname
actually made some sense and they still called Minneapolis home.
Boston and the game's ultimate winner, Bill Russell, dominated the early years
of the rivalry. In fact it was as lopsided as Pete Carroll's USC Trojans vs.
Charlie Weis' Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Red Auerbach's Celtics took the
Lakers all seven times they met in the finals, although the Jerry West, Elgin
Baylor fueled LA clubs did manage to take Boston to seven games on three
different occasions.
The rivalry laid dormant for 15 years until Larry Bird and Magic Johnson
"saved" the NBA by bringing their storied college rivalry to the pros. Bird
avenged his loss at Indiana State to Magic's Michigan State Spartans in the
1979 NCAA Finals when the Celtics got past the Lakers in seven games to win
the 1983-84 NBA title.
Johnson and his Lakers responded the next season as LA finally beat Boston in
the finals for the first time. Magic also won the rubber match two years later
before the rivalry went cold again, this time for 20 years as the Celtics
struggled mightily in the post-Bird era.
Boston basketball chief Danny Ainge re-ignited things by acquiring both Kevin
Garnett and Ray Allen before the 2007-08 season. The two All-Stars teamed with
Paul Pierce to create the "Boston Three Party" and the Celtics were relevant
again. A 17th Boston championship was the result as Garnett and his Celtics
got the best of Kobe Bryant's Lakers.
A rematch could have been in the offing last season but a knee injury to
Garnett derailed any hopes of a Celtics repeat. Instead, LA earned its 15th
championship by taking Orlando in five games.
"Obviously, one is special but the other groups have a couple, and we'd love
to join that club," Celtics coach Doc Rivers said of the other Boston
dynasties. "It's not going to be easy for us. We've talked about that we
want to join that club. No one can ever take away the first title. But we
want to join another club too."
The Lakers secured a chance to repeat as champs and avenge their loss two
years ago on Saturday when Bryant poured in 37 points as Los Angeles gained
their third straight trip to the Finals by ousting Pacific Division rival
Phoenix in six games.
The Celtics, meanwhile, will be gunning for their record 18th title, and have
already knocked off LeBron James and Cleveland, which had the league's best
record, in the East semifinals, as well as Orlando, last season's Eastern
Conference champion.
Pierce totaled 31 points, 13 rebounds and five assists the day before the
Lakers clinched their trip to the finals as the Celtics made sure history was
not made in the East. The Magic had staved off elimination in back-to-back
games and had momentum on their side in trying to become the first NBA team to
come back from a 3-0 series deficit.
"This is where we thought we would be," Rivers said. "So we're not surprised."
The Lakers, who snapped a seven-game playoff skid in Phoenix during the West
finals clincher, are bidding to become the first repeat champion since they
won three in a row (2000-02) with Bryant teaming with Shaquille O'Neal.
"Last time we played [the Celtics], it was a great learning experience for
us," Bryant said. "It taught us what it takes to be a champion. With the
defensive intensity they play with, the tenacity they play with, we learned a
great deal in that series."
Lakers coach Phil Jackson, who surpassed the legendary Auerbach with his 10th
championship as a coach last year, an NBA and major North American
professional sports record, is glad he has a chance to avenge one of his two
losses in the finals.
"After we came back in the playoffs last year, I ran into Paul Pierce in a
complex where my daughter lives in LA," Jackson said. "I said, 'Get it back,
we want to meet you in the finals.' So here it is almost a year later. We have
this opportunity, both of us, to renew this rivalry."
MATCHUPS:
POINT GUARD: It seems like every playoff series the Lakers are in, we talk
about the advantage the opposition has at the point guard position. It's no
different here. Despite the lack of a top-tier, consistent jumper, the ultra-
quick Rajon Rondo has made a team that features three future Hall of Famers
into his own. The Kentucky product nearly averaged a triple-double in last
year's playoffs and is putting up special numbers again this year. Rondo is
scoring at 16.7 points per game clip and leads the Celtics in assists (10.0)
so far this postseason while contributing 5.3 rebounds.
His ability to get on the boards really shows up against most point guards and
his floor game and decision making improves on a daily basis. The book on
Rondo is simple, sag off him and make him take that suspect jumper but that's
easier said than done.
"I haven't really had a chance to look at him, aside from just mere
entertainment, watching games," Bryant said of Rondo. "He's really turned into
a helluva player."
His counterpart, veteran Derek Fisher, is the weak link of this Lakers team on
paper. Fisher lacks the quickness at this stage of his career to stick with
the upper echelon point guards and Jackson will likely have to use Bryant and
reserves like Shannon Brown and Jordan Farmar early and often to try and slow
Rondo off the dribble. A standstill shooter these days, it's easy to poke
holes in Fisher's game but few players are willing to take more big shots down
the stretch of a close game. Fisher has ice running through his veins late and
turns from a detriment to a big-time positive as the clock ticks down.
EDGE: CELTICS
SHOOTING GUARD: Allen is one of the finest pure shooters to ever play the
game and since the veteran guard is a free agent in the offseason this might
be his last hurrah with a team of this caliber. He has been playing every game
like it's his last and is averaging 16.8 ppg in the playoffs and is shooting
an impressive 42.3 percent from long range. The sweet-stroking Allen still can
come off the screen like few others, has a lightning-quick trigger and is not
afraid to take the big shot. In fact, his marksmanship can take over a game
when he heats up. Although aging, Allen is also an underrated defender.
As good as Allen is, he's no match for the Lakers' Bryant. An elite playmaker
and finisher, Bryant again finished within the top five in scoring this
season and ended up third in the MVP voting despite being banged-up for much
of the year. In Kobe's 13 seasons with the Lakers they have appeared in
postseason play in all but one season (2004-05), and have reached the NBA
Finals seven times, winning championships in 2000, 2001, 2002 and 2009. Bryant
is also the youngest player in NBA history to score 25,000 points and also
moved past the legendary Jerry West to become the Lakers all-time leading
scorer. Perhaps more importantly, he remains the best closer in the game and
is one of the two or three best defensive stoppers.
"The challenge is to win the championship," Bryant said. "The Celtics are in
the way. They feel the same way about us. It's a sexy matchup. We're looking
forward to this challenge. When the ball goes up, we'll be ready to go."
EDGE: LAKERS
CENTER: Kendrick Perkins is likely thrilled to have put Dwight Howard in the
rearview mirror. However, he will be facing another athletic big man in Andrew
Bynum during this series but the Lakers' big man is playing injured and is a
far less consistent player that often finds himself in Jackson's doghouse.
Perkins doesn't have elite quickness or athleticism but he is the Celtics'
best pure rebounder and is a solid shot blocker. Offensively, Perkins hasn't
developed enough of an offensive game and most of his points come on put-
backs.
Bynum, who missed the NBA Finals in 2008 with a knee injury, has a lot of
talent but another knee injury suffered against Oklahoma City in the West
quarterfinals has taken its toll. No one questions Bynum's skill but a
history of leg injuries and inconsistency is always lurking. That said,
Bynum is a better player than Perkins.
"Andrew is going to give us what he can," Jackson said. "He's not a hundred
percent. But he's throwing himself in there. He'll do the job. He'll do
what we ask him to do and be as tough as he can be out there with a limited
amount of base that he can work off of."
EDGE: LAKERS
SMALL FORWARD: Pierce is the Celtics' go-to-guy down the stretch of close
games and is one of the NBA's best. The 2008 NBA Finals MVP was once again the
Celtics' leading scorer and is one of the game's best finishers and a very
underrated defender. The Truth's vaunted body control also enables him to
march to the foul line at will.
Ron Artest spent the first round of the playoffs chasing Kevin Durant all over
the floor and did a fine job so he won't exactly be spooked by Pierce's
scoring skills. No one can stop the supremely gifted Durant but Artest forced
him to work and that was the plan. With Durant gone, Artest was able to
contribute on the offensive end a little more vs. Utah and Phoenix but his
production with this Lakers team will always be measured on the defensive
end, especially against a player like Pierce, who was the difference in the
'08 finals.
"Pierce is a very tough matchup," Bryant said. "He's very smart. He's one of
the few players that has a long ball, has midrange game, can get to the
basket. I think that makes him tough to cover, but Ron is up for the
challenge."
EDGE: CELTICS
POWER FORWARD: Kevin Garnett is one of the best power forwards of all-time.
He's clearly on the downside of a spectacular career but "the Big Ticket" has
been incredibly efficient this postseason and clearly has enough left in his
bag of tricks to make things difficult for a player like Pau Gasol.
Gasol has been the perfect "Robin" to Bryant's "Batman" since the Lakers
acquired his services during the 2007-08 campaign. The lanky Spaniard is LA's
top rebounder and shot blocking threat and gives Jackson an imposing presence
on the front line.
EDGE: EVEN
BENCH: Rivers mixed and matched his bench all year but has settled on Big
Baby Davis and Tony Allen along with Rasheed Wallace and Michael Finley for
most of the postseason. Davis provides offense inside and some toughness while
Allen brings athleticism and a defensive mindset to help combat Bryant.
Wallace and Finley aren't going to be consistent at this stage of the game
but can step up and hurt you at key moments. Wallace's length will be
especially important against an LA front line that has carved up the Western
Conference.
The wild card may be Nate Robinson, who stepped up big in Game 6 against
Orlando and has the ability to offer instant offense off the bench at any
time.
"I made a point of going over to him (and telling him to) stay engaged,"
Rivers said of Robinson.
Lamar Odom is a very gifted player that can beat you in a host of ways for
LA. One of the NBA's best sixth men, Odom can take you from the inside or
outside on the offensive end and torture you with his length as a defender.
He's also the rare 6-foot-11 player that can handle the ball and beat you as a
playmaker.
Jackson tends to get frustrated with his other bench players. Brown is a
solid defender while Farmar offers some two-way skills in the backcourt.
Luke Walton can also provide some energy at times.
EDGE: EVEN
COACHING: Rivers has never been regarded as a great chess player but he has
done a wonderful job melding the egos of three superstars, and managing
personalities may be the most important job of an NBA coach. Rivers' lead
assistant, Tom Thibodeau, may be the best pure defensive coach in basketball.
That said, Jackson is one of the best professional coaches in the history of
the game. The "Zen Master" has won 10 titles as a head coach and helped the
Lakers become the first NBA franchise to 3,000 wins back in January. Jackson
is in his 10th season as head coach of the Lakers and has led the
franchise to seven Western Conference titles, and has the highest playoff
winning percentage of any coach in league history. He passed the
legendary Auerbach with his 10th title last summer, and his resume is beyond
reproach.
EDGE: LAKERS
PREDICTION: Things have changed since 2008. The Lakers added Artest and now
have a tough-minded defensive player to match up with Pierce. That also gives
Jackson the ability to slide Bryant, the best on-ball defender in the series,
on Rondo at times if the Celtics' point guard heats up against Fisher. On the
other hand, Boston, with Garnett, Perkins and Wallace, is one of the only
teams in the NBA that can counter LA's length on the front line. Both teams
have superlative finishers in Bryant and Pierce but both also have a host of
defenders that they can throw at each of them.
"This is a whole new situation," Jackson said. "We have some new members of
our team but some of these guys remember how it felt to lose. There's nothing
worse than losing in a finals.
"It will be a matchup of bigs. Their bigs are very active and they've got
Wallace and Davis coming in off the bench, along with other bodies they can
bring in. They're a big team. Our bigs have to play, have to play well. I
thought we were outplayed by their bigs the last time we played them in the
'08 series. Andrew [Bynum] will give us some help in that regard."
This is almost too close to call but Rivers summed it up after the Orlando
series when he reminded us that his current starting five has never lost a
playoff series.
CELTICS in 7.
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Mens NCAA Basketball Tournament odds
As of February 9, MySportsbook.com has released its coveted 2007 Mens NCAA Basketball Tournament betting odds. “March Madness betting ” only a month away, the top ranked Florida Gators are favorite at 7-2 to win it all. The defending champs have not disappointed at all this season and currently have a 22-2 record and are undefeated (9-0) in SEC play. The Gators’ thrive off of their extremely balanced, experienced and versatile attack. All five starters started in last seasons National Championship game. What is most impressive with this group is their balance; the five starters all average between 10.7 and 13.6 PPG. The Gators have been on an absolute roll having won 15 straight by an average of 16.4 PPG.
Right behind the Gators are the 5th ranked UNC Tar Heels at 9-2. The Heels (21-3, 7-2) are absolutely loaded with top notch talent and are as deep as any team in the country. A concern for the Tar Heels might be inexperience. Of their top four scorers/ minute earners, three are freshmen and the other is a sophomore. The rest of the regular season, the Tar Heels play only one team that is currently ranked (Duke). Their remaining opponents do combine for an impressive 107-58 record though.
Other teams that the MySportsbook.com members seem to believe will win it all include the west coasts’ top team #2 UCLA (6-1), #3 OSU behind man-child Greg Oden (8-1), and #4 Wisconsin (10-1) behind their defense which has given up 70+ points only three times all season.
Below is a list of some of the favorites to win the 2007 Men’s NCAA Basketball Championship lines. For the full list of teams and March Madness odds be sure to log onto MySportsbook.com. If you want to use your credit card to bet on college hoops or any other event, MySportsbook.com has the highest credit card acceptance rate in the industry.
Arizona 20-1
Butler 20-1
Duke 30-1
Florida 7-2
Georgetown 30-1
Indiana 35-1
Kansas 15-1
Marquette 25-1
Maryland 40-1
Memphis 50-1
Nevada 50-1
UNC 9-2
OSU 8-1
Oregon 30-1
Pittsburgh 15-1
Texas 30-1
Texas A&M 18-1
UCLA 6-1
Wisconsin 10-1
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your Sportsbook betting needs.
Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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