Federer will face Tsonga in Aussie Open semis
Tennis Betting Lines
01/27/2010 -
Melbourne, Australia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Roger Federer looked rattled after
losing the first set of his Australian Open quarterfinal against Russian
Nikolay Davydenko, but the legend of the super Swiss took over in a big way
and the world's No. 1 player is now into his record 23rd consecutive Grand
Slam semifinal. Federer's final four opponent will be charismatic Frenchman
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.
"It's incredible looking back on how many years that is now, you know, I'm
able to deliver at Grand Slam play, especially, you know, this year," Federer
said of his remarkable Grand Slam semifinal streak.
Federer overcame the sixth-seeded Davydenko 2-6, 6-3, 6-0, 7-5, while a 10th-
seeded Tsonga outlasted and ousted an ailing third-seeded Novak Djokovic 7-6
(10-8), 6-7 (5-7), 1-6, 6-3, 6-1. Djokovic captured his lone major title here
two years ago by beating Tsonga in the 2008 final.
The Federer-Davydenko match had its share of momentum shifts. Federer
initially had his hands full and was down two quick breaks in the first set,
but turned it around in the second and third with an epic 13-game run to take
command of the match. He then held on in a tenuous fourth set that lasted
nearly an hour.
The 28-year-old Federer is the men's all-time leader with 15 major titles and
currently holds the Wimbledon and French Open crowns. With an injured Rafael
Nadal being bounced out of the tournament, Federer, perhaps, has an even
better shot at gaining his fourth Aussie Open title. He has been to the
semifinals at every Grand Slam since being knocked out in the third round of
the 2004 French Open.
The three-time Aussie Open titlist Federer lost to Nadal in last year's
Melbourne finale.
Davydenko had won the previous two meetings after losing his first 12 against
Federer. The 28-year-old Russian stunned Federer at the exclusive eight-player
ATP World Tour Finals back in November, and also surprised the Swiss superstar
at an Aussie Open tune-up event in Doha earlier this month.
The speedy Davydenko, who had won his previous 13 matches, was in prime
position for his first semifinal berth in Melbourne, but it all fell apart
starting in the second set.
A total of 17 unforced errors in the opening set came from Federer, who seemed
taken aback by Davydenko's aggressive play, especially off the top-ranked
player's serve.
A bathroom break at the end of the first set didn't help Federer. He fell
behind 1-3 in the second, but then saved a couple break points in the ensuing
game and held serve. That started the run of 13 straight games won, during
which Davydenko looked liked a player who was ranked outside the top 100
instead of a stalwart still trying to reach his first Grand Slam final.
Federer broke at love for a 5-3 lead and didn't give up a point in the ensuing
service game to square the match.
The third set was sheer domination for Federer. He had just two unforced
errors to 14 for Davydenko during the stanza.
By getting within 2-1 in the fourth set, Davydenko was able to win his first
game in more than an hour. He then won three straight games for a 4-3 lead and
saw a golden opportunity go awry by failing on three consecutive break-point
chances when Federer was down 0-40 in the eighth game.
Davydenko was then broken for a 5-4 Federer lead, but the Russian bounced
right back, fighting off a match point with a backhand winner. Another
backhand passing shot tied it after 10 games.
The gritty Davydenko saved three break points in the next game, including one
on a challenge when replays showed Federer's return was long by just
millimeters as tension filled the air at Rod Laver Arena. But on the fourth
break point chance, Davydenko's forehand return clipped the top of the net and
went long.
Federer was then able to close the match with a dominating serve, finishing
the encounter with a solid forehand winner.
"Again, again, again, like the same what was happen last time in Grand Slam,"
Davydenko said after the disappointing setback. "Have chance and I didn't
realize, and I lost."
"Bad luck. Go home tomorrow, relax," the Russian added.
Federer's victory ensures that the Swiss great will be ranked No. 1 on Monday,
his 268th week on top, tying Jimmy Connors for the third-longest mark in
history. Only Pete Sampras (286) and Ivan Lendl (270) have been No. 1 for more
weeks.
In Wednesday's quarterfinal nightcap, Tsonga let Djokovic know that he was in
for a match by capturing the opening set via tiebreak at Laver. But Djokovic
returned the favor by claiming a second-set tiebreak when a Tsonga
groundstroke missed long.
The third set was all Djokovic, as the talented Serb rolled in a mere seven
games, but the tide would shift in the fourth when Djokovic fell ill. The
Serbian star called for a trainer while trailing 0-2 in the stanza and
actually left the court at one point in order to vomit. Djokovic has had a
history of physical problems at majors, including last year here at Melbourne
Park, when he retired during a quarterfinal match against Andy Roddick.
A struggling Djokovic, perhaps conserving some energy for he fifth set,
basically conceded the fourth to Tsonga on Day 10, as he gave very little
effort in falling behind 0-5 in the stanza. But the athletic Serb then
surprised most by winning three straight games. Tsonga, however, would hold to
win the set by holding his serve in the ninth game.
Tsonga pounced on Djokovic by opening the final set with a break, and then
held for a 2-0 lead.
The 22-year-old Djokovic fought off a pair of break points in the third game
to pull within 1-2, but the hard-hitting Frenchman moved out to a comfortable
4-1 advantage by again breaking the Serb, who coughed up the fifth game with
an untimely double fault, propelling Tsonga towards the finish line.
Tsonga converted on his first match point two games later, as one final
Djokovic forehand missed the court and Tsonga broke the Serb for the win en
route to his second career major semifinal, both of which have come here in
Melbourne.
An elated Tsonga, who piled up 19 aces and a whopping eight service breaks,
moved on in 3 hours, 52 minutes. Djokovic managed six breaks of Tsonga's
quality serve, but he also hurt his own chances with nine double faults.
The 24-year-old Tsonga is now 5-2 lifetime against Djokovic, including wins in
five of their last six matchups.
On Friday, Tsonga will face Federer for a third time, with both players
claiming previous wins. They've never met in a Grand Slam event.
The other men's semifinal will be staged here on Thursday, with fifth-seeded
Andy Murray taking on 14th-seeded Croat Marin Cilic, who dismantled Murray at
last year's U.S. Open. Murray was the 2008 U.S. Open runner-up to Federer.
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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