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Bobcats topple Pacers; Granger hurts foot

Basketball Betting Lines

02/18/2009 - Charlotte, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Gerald Wallace scored 25 points, grabbed 10 rebounds and doled out seven assists to lead the Charlotte Bobcats in a 103-94 victory over the Indiana Pacers.

Emeka Okafor chipped in 12 points and 12 boards for the Bobcats, who have won three of their last four games. Raymond Felton and Vladimir Radmanovic scored 16 and 15, respectively, in the win.

Troy Murphy had 18 points and 16 rebounds for the Pacers, who have alternated wins and losses the last seven games. Jarrett Jack totaled 18 points, eight boards and five helpers.

Marquis Daniels had 14 points and Danny Granger scored 12, but sprained his right foot early in the second quarter for Indiana, which has dropped 10 straight on the road.

Raymond Felton hit a buzzer-beater from beyond half court to give the Bobcats a 32-25 lead after the first quarter, but the Pacers cut it to 53-50 at the intermission.

Daniels' reverse layup trimmed the margin to 59-58 with 8:20 left in the third quarter.

Moments later, Boris Diaw dropped in a layup, Felton nailed a jumper and Wallace offered three points to make it an eight-point game.

Brandon Rush interjected with a three for Indiana, but Charlotte rolled off nine straight points. Felton had five and Okafor closed it out with a pair from the charity stripe for a 77-63 home-team lead with 1:53 left in the third.

The home team was sitting on a 79-69 lead heading into the final 12 minutes.

Rasho Nesterovic's jumper cut it to 81-75 early in the fourth, but the Bobcats inflated their lead and it hovered around 10 the rest of the way.

Game Notes

The Pacers shot 41.8 percent from the field and the Bobcats hit 41 percent of their shots...The teams went a combined 13-of-43 from behind the arc...Indiana is just 6-23 as the visitor this season. Its last win as the guest was a 113-110 triumph over Phoenix on January 7...The Bobcats began a brief two-game homestand and will also take on the Magic. They are 16-14 as the host in 2008-09...Charlotte took a 2-1 lead in the season series, but the Pacers have won nine of the 17 all-time meetings...The Bobcats have won five of seven as the host in this series.


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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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