11th-ranked Ducks open season at home against Lobos
NCAA Football Betting Lines
09/01/2010 -
Eugene, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 11th-ranked Oregon Ducks get their 2010
campaign started this weekend, when the New Mexico Lobos visit Eugene for a
non-conference affair at Autzen Stadium.
Chip Kelly took over an already successful Oregon program last season and
exceeded expectations by leading the Ducks to their first outright Pac-10
title since 1994. Oregon finished the campaign 10-3 overall following a loss
to Ohio State in the Rose Bowl, as Kelly proved too be the right man for the
job. The stakes are even higher now however, as Oregon is favored to win the
Pac-10 and anything less could be deemed a failure. The reason for optimism is
a wealth of returning talent and speed that is unmatched by most teams around
the nation.
As for the Lobos, they were guided by a new head coach last year as well,
although the results were vastly different. UNM stumbled to a 1-11 finish
under Mike Locksley, who had issues of his own, including serving a 10-day
suspension for an altercation with a former assistant. Locksley and the Lobos
are hoping to clean things up this season, but are likely to find themselves
near the bottom of the Mountain West Conference again.
This is the first-ever meeting between the Lobos and Ducks on the gridiron.
The Lobos averaged a measly 16.3 ppg last season, so a dramatic improvement
is needed on the offensive side of the ball. B.R. Holbrook was recently tabbed
as the starting quarterback for UNM, as the 6-3, 195-pound sophomore showed a
good grasp of the offense this preseason after seeing limited action a year
ago.
"B.R. has earned the right to be our starting quarterback," said Locksley, in
his second year at the UNM helm. "They guy who starts for us will be the guy
who gives us the best chance to win; the guy who is the most productive; the
guy who best takes care of the football."
Holbrook has some experienced receivers to work with, but his main target will
likely be Ty Kirk, who led the team with 36 receptions and 427 receiving yards
in 10 games as a freshman last season.
In the backfield, the Lobos welcome back their top three rushers in Demond
Dennis (427 yards), Kasey Carrier (269 yards) and James Wright (291 yards).
Each back brings something different to the table and should help UNM improve
on its mere 100.3 rushing ypg for a season ago.
Much like the offense, the Lobos' defense struggled greatly last season and
permitted 35.9 ppg. An improvement isn't a given, even though UNM returns the
nation's leading tackler in Carmen Messina. The junior linebacker logged an
incredible 162 stops last year and will once again anchor the defense.
Another player to watch is defensive end Johnathan Rainey, who was terrific
off the edge, leading UNM with 15.5 tackles for loss and 9.5 sacks in 2009.
Jaymar Latchison added 8.5 TFLs and 4.5 sacks at the opposite end, so putting
pressure on opposing quarterbacks won't be a problem for this defense.
The Lobos were torched for 253.7 ypg through the air last season, but return
four corners with experience, including both starters, and hopefully they can
improve from a year ago.
Jeremiah Masoli was a big part of Oregon's success last year and would have
been considered a Heisman Trophy candidate entering the 2010 campaign.
Unfortunately, Masoli was suspended for the season after being involved in a
theft and he elected to walk-on at Ole Miss instead. That opened the door for
a quarterback battle this offseason, with sophomore Darron Thomas beating out
senior Nate Costa for the starting gig.
The 6-3, 212-pound Thomas was involved in five games as a true freshman in
2008, throwing for 268 yards and three scores, but redshirted in 2009. This
game will represent the first collegiate start for Thomas, who can beat teams
with his arm or legs.
A strong supporting cast, including an electric ground attack, should help
take some of the pressure off Thomas. The Ducks rushed for 231.7 ypg last
year, the sixth best mark in the nation, and they have an abundance of players
that can flat out fly. LaMichael James rushed for a Pac-10 freshman record
1,546 yards, to go along with 14 touchdowns last season, but won't be
available for this game due to a suspension. Fellow sophomore Kenjon Barner,
who is also a dynamic kick returner, is another burner and he will get the
start this weekend after averaging 6.0 yards per carry in '09.
Plenty of options also exist at wide receiver, with Jeff Maehl being the go-
to-guy. Last season, he paced the team with 53 catches for 696 yards and six
touchdowns.
Defensively, the Ducks lack some size, but they more than make up for that
with their speed. Up front, two big time starters are welcomed back in end
Kenny Rowe and defensive tackle Brandon Bair. Rowe is a tenacious pass rusher
that racked up team-highs of 11.5 sacks and 15 TFLs, while Bair clogged the
middle with 45 stops and eight TFLs.
"You have to have guys who are athletes," said Bair. "We have to know every
position on the field so we can be put in any of those spots."
The linebacking corps is talented enough to allow Eddie Pleasant, who had 54
tackles and 4.5 sacks, to move to the secondary and not miss a beat. Casey
Matthews enters his third season as a starter and the senior is not only
productive (81 stops), but he is also looked upon as a leader. Spencer
Paysinger is another experienced returnee, as he also logged 81 tackles in
'09.
As mentioned earlier, Pleasant will now be at the one safety spot and will be
teamed with John Boyett, who racked up a team-high 90 tackles and three
interceptions last year.
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Head coac
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Badgers head to Sin City to open season against new-look Rebels >>
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the Football Bowl Subdivision this weekend as the new UNLV head coach welcomes
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Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
Bet 2010 Super Bowl Odds
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
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